open interest keeps surprising consensus on weekend risk

Cycles rhyme, but the plumbing underneath keeps changing.

Ignoring open interest because cycle psychology looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

Put beside current chatter on “Chainstack Traces Customer Data Breach to Exposed Admin Tools,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

The practical takeaway is to prefer durable signals over dramatic ones.

Revisit assumptions weekly; markets change faster than slogans.

Ignoring stablecoin minting because bridge security looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

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